Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.338629 0.369473 0.402292 0.439886 0.481848 0.527347 0.580548
2025-12-14 0.284292 0.326983 0.375431 0.434797 0.506004 0.589196 0.694521
2025-12-21 0.247087 0.294067 0.349680 0.420963 0.510760 0.621273 0.769363
2025-12-28 0.229328 0.280768 0.343841 0.427828 0.538189 0.680337 0.880710
2026-01-04 0.214664 0.269156 0.337995 0.432710 0.561824 0.734943 0.990328
2026-01-11 0.201677 0.258152 0.331373 0.435065 0.581117 0.784182 1.096499
2026-01-18 0.190338 0.248156 0.324881 0.436402 0.598239 0.830913 1.203017
2026-01-25 0.181362 0.240504 0.320695 0.440130 0.618413 0.883069 1.322638
2026-02-01 0.169614 0.228127 0.308909 0.431721 0.619497 0.906013 1.397797
2026-02-08 0.162414 0.221597 0.304814 0.434019 0.636526 0.954504 1.519559
2026-02-15 0.154405 0.213356 0.297608 0.430903 0.644540 0.988850 1.620543
2026-02-22 0.148307 0.207491 0.293439 0.431972 0.659001 1.034610 1.746452
2026-03-01 0.140732 0.199114 0.285136 0.426163 0.662052 1.061907 1.843083
2026-03-08 0.133952 0.191574 0.277670 0.421159 0.665999 1.091051 1.946903
2026-03-15 0.125765 0.181461 0.265639 0.407850 0.654565 1.091516 1.994067
2026-03-22 0.122773 0.179172 0.265688 0.414455 0.678201 1.157782 2.182651
2026-03-29 0.119569 0.176361 0.264700 0.419153 0.698671 1.219914 2.371090
2026-04-05 0.116072 0.172894 0.262428 0.421418 0.714759 1.274986 2.551846
2026-04-12 0.112610 0.169304 0.259732 0.422704 0.729011 1.327641 2.734638
2026-04-19 0.109810 0.166641 0.258409 0.426289 0.747824 1.391247 2.952510
2026-04-26 0.105016 0.160491 0.250906 0.418201 0.743259 1.405668 3.053283
2026-05-03 0.102365 0.157772 0.249094 0.420411 0.759178 1.465097 3.275617
2026-05-10 0.098963 0.153644 0.244647 0.417414 0.764308 1.501441 3.444061